close
close

Is there an exit poll for the 2024 local and mayoral elections?

Voters in England are heading to the polls to cast their ballots in a local election seen as the last big test of public opinion before the general election.

Elections They are being held in 107 municipalities throughout the country, with 2,636 seats at stake. Voters will also choose the mayor of londonLondon assemblymen and 10 other mayors outside the capital.

By-elections are also being held in Blackpool South following the resignation of former Conservative MP Scott Benton. Voters in England and Wales will also elect new police and crime commissioners.

Polling stations close at 10:00 p.m. and some of the results will begin to arrive overnight, while others will be announced throughout Friday, Saturday and Sunday.

What is an exit poll?

An exit poll is a survey of voters that asks them which party or politician they voted for in an election.

The surveys are conducted by data companies and typically commissioned by media organizations.

In UK general elections, exit polls are used to predict how many seats each party has won and the percentage of votes they have won.

Exit polls have been used in UK general elections for at least three decades and are becoming more accurate as the methodologies used to produce them improve.

In the 2019 general election, an exit poll for the BBC, ITV and Sky News predicted that the Conservatives would win 386 MPs, while Labor would win 191.

In the end, the Conservatives won 365 seats to Labour’s 202.

Exit poll for the 2019 general elections (Pennsylvania)

Is there an exit poll for the 2024 local elections?

No, there are no exit polls in local elections. Those interested in the results will have to wait until they are announced.

The first results of Thursday’s elections will be known overnight, and the rest will follow until Friday, Saturday and Sunday.

However, a clearer picture of the results – and what they mean nationally for each party – will begin to develop on Friday afternoon, when around a third of councils have declared.

The BBC will use the result on Friday to produce its “projected national turnout”, which models each party’s share of the vote based on 800 municipal wards. This is then used to project how many seats each party would win in a general election.

While local elections are a good indicator of public opinion, analysts caution against overanalyzing the results because voters tend to be more motivated by local issues than in a general election.

What time are the results?

Around a third of councils are due to declare overnight: including Bolton, Hartlepool, Southend-on-Sea, Thurrock and Redditch in Worcestershire.

The result of the Blackpool South by-election is likely to be announced at midnight.

Three Police and Crime Commissioner (PCC) results are also expected, for Avon and Somerset, Cumbria and Lincolnshire.

Follow this link for a more complete list of estimated election results times.